Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001292 0.001402 0.001519 0.001655 0.001808 0.001977 0.002177
2025-11-30 0.001142 0.001287 0.001452 0.001653 0.001895 0.002181 0.002547
2025-12-07 0.001028 0.001188 0.001375 0.001614 0.001915 0.002288 0.002794
2025-12-14 0.000951 0.001120 0.001325 0.001594 0.001947 0.002402 0.003053
2025-12-21 0.000879 0.001052 0.001265 0.001554 0.001944 0.002465 0.003243
2025-12-28 0.000793 0.000959 0.001168 0.001455 0.001850 0.002394 0.003230
2026-01-04 0.000734 0.000897 0.001104 0.001394 0.001802 0.002378 0.003293
2026-01-11 0.000697 0.000860 0.001071 0.001372 0.001806 0.002434 0.003467
2026-01-18 0.000668 0.000833 0.001050 0.001365 0.001827 0.002516 0.003691
2026-01-25 0.000734 0.000935 0.001209 0.001622 0.002262 0.003276 0.005162
2026-02-01 0.000688 0.000882 0.001148 0.001554 0.002193 0.003225 0.005193
2026-02-08 0.000653 0.000843 0.001105 0.001511 0.002159 0.003227 0.005324
2026-02-15 0.000636 0.000830 0.001104 0.001538 0.002252 0.003476 0.006019
2026-02-22 0.000611 0.000806 0.001086 0.001536 0.002298 0.003650 0.006612
2026-03-01 0.000580 0.000771 0.001048 0.001502 0.002283 0.003711 0.006970
2026-03-08 0.000556 0.000745 0.001022 0.001483 0.002295 0.003823 0.007474
2026-03-15 0.000530 0.000714 0.000987 0.001447 0.002271 0.003859 0.007803
2026-03-22 0.000492 0.000665 0.000922 0.001357 0.002141 0.003667 0.007514
2026-03-29 0.000465 0.000631 0.000879 0.001302 0.002072 0.003594 0.007525
2026-04-05 0.000448 0.000612 0.000857 0.001282 0.002068 0.003657 0.007923
2026-04-12 0.000435 0.000597 0.000844 0.001275 0.002087 0.003772 0.008495
2026-04-19 0.000473 0.000663 0.000962 0.001508 0.002607 0.005116 0.013482
2026-04-26 0.000449 0.000632 0.000919 0.001447 0.002517 0.004991 0.013420